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Will the Iranian regime collapse if Khamenei dies?


Khamenei’s medical thriller

Iran has launched a photograph of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei amid rumors on social media that he’s in a coma or useless. The picture exhibits Khamenei in his workplace speaking with Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon, who was injured in Beirut throughout Israel’s assault on Hezbollah in September.

Speculation about Khamenei’s well being started with a New York Times report on October 27 suggesting that Khamenei was “severely ailing” and that his son may very well be his successor. On Saturday, claims emerged that the 85-year-old had fallen right into a coma. Experts query these experiences and recommend they could be true or false.

Khamenei’s well being has been below scrutiny for twenty years, with frequent rumors of sickness and potential successors. Authorities have constantly denied these claims, typically releasing photographs to refute them. The same sample occurred throughout final night time’s ambassadors’ assembly.

Rumors date again to 2006, when political analyst Michael Reddin claimed that Khamenei was in a coma. There have been comparable experiences in 2009 and 2014 when Khamenei underwent prostate surgical procedure, apparently for most cancers. Speculation resurfaced in 2020.

Beilinson Hospital Professor Shay Golan informed ILTV News that superior prostate most cancers can result in critical issues corresponding to coma and a number of organ failure. However, prostate most cancers often grows slowly and has a 90% remedy price if detected early. However, medical issues in Iran may cut back Khamenei’s survival to 2 to a few years if he develops superior most cancers, though this stays unconfirmed.

Ayatollah Khamenei can not unilaterally title a successor. An professional panel of 88 Shiite clerics should select the following supreme chief.

Will the regime collapse if Khamenei dies?

Iranian journalist Ashkan Hakimi outlined two theories. A brand new chief might search to enhance relations with the West, or public unrest might result in a change of presidency. For now, these eventualities stay speculative till the standing of Khamenei’s well being turns into clearer.



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