The dialogue and evaluation about the way forward for the area has considerably elevated because the October 7 assault of Hamas on Israel and the start of the Gaza battle. Some of those discussions and analyses appear logical, real looking, and sensible, whereas others are based mostly on feelings, fantasies, and illusions which can be removed from rational framework and pragmatism.
Tehran claims to help the Palestinian trigger by way of its “Quds Force,” however has not taken any precise navy motion to help the Palestinian individuals. Instead, it has repeatedly tried to divide the Palestinians in several areas and forestall them from agreeing on a single technique.
In order to manage Palestinian factions and use them to advance its objectives and plans within the area, the Iranian regime helps some Palestinian teams towards others, fueling discord and incompatibility amongst them. This coverage of Tehran is in step with the actions of Tel Aviv and has led to the fragmentation of the Palestinians.
Despite Tehran and the southern suburbs of Beirut denying their position within the Al-Aqsa storm operation, their statements and media reveal their contradictions. Tehran has saved Hezbollah in a secure place to stop it from uncovered to crushing blows, aligning its pursuits with these of Tel Aviv and the “Great Satan” in attempting to stop the growth of the battle in the direction of Lebanon.
The Golan Front stays calm as Iran and Hezbollah have a direct presence there, and Tehran and Damascus chorus from actions that might result in the growth of the battle and convey Iran and Syria into direct battle with Israel. Meanwhile, the mobilization of Hashd al-Shaabi forces and Hezbollah’s missile assaults have had no impact on the Gaza battle.
The presence of the Houthis within the Red Sea and their risk to worldwide delivery traces proves that Iran’s agenda is just not associated to the Gaza battle, however to strengthen its place in circumstances reminiscent of nuclear negotiations and ending the oil embargo. Iran is attempting to attain a few of its desired objectives earlier than the American presidential elections and the doable defeat of the Democrats.
Chanting completely satisfied slogans with each missile launched in the direction of Israel is an act to draw consideration, however it has not affected the Gaza battle or defeated Israel. The actuality is that many Palestinians have been killed, displaced, and infrastructure has been destroyed because the starting of the battle between Hamas and Israel.
The assassination of Saleh al-Arouri and different Hamas leaders within the southern suburbs of Beirut reveals that the steadiness of energy can’t be established by launching drones, firing rockets, or attacking with knives. Civil resistance is the most effective and best option to notice the Palestinian trigger.