Mojtaba Khamenei emerges as successor candidate – regime change? The ‘Ekbatan Incident’ continues to reveal the regime’s brutal repression
Amid rumors concerning the well being situation of the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iranian state media printed an interview between Khamenei and Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon to refute hypothesis that started after The New article. I posted a photograph. York Times.
According to a US newspaper, Iran’s supreme chief is “significantly sick” and his son Mojtaba Khamenei is prone to be his successor. Rumors additionally started to flow into that the 85-year-old Ayatollah Khamenei had fallen right into a coma.
Many have due to this fact speculated about Khamenei’s successor, with main considerations centering on the character of the upcoming political transition. “The way forward for the Islamic Republic of Iran is unknown,” political analyst Daniel Bashande instructed Atalayar.
The new satellite tv for pc in orbit is the work of Iranian electronics business. The picture reveals Supreme Leader Khamenei attending the National Space Technology Exhibition – PHOTO/Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran
“One of the important thing points is how Khamenei’s successor will probably be handled and the way the individuals will react. There isn’t any consensus on who the subsequent chief of the revolution will probably be. ”, Bashande mentioned, noting that Khamenei has amassed lots of energy over the many years and that “any new chief who consolidates that energy might have issues.”
Meanwhile, Bashande has expressed the view that Iran’s political future will depend upon the worldwide state of affairs. “The position of the United States and Russia will probably be decisive. If Iran continues with international interference, particularly sanctions, the probabilities of home democratic improvement will probably be zero, which can favor regime cohesion. ” he says.
For Bashande, the hot button is to “stability and be certain that current energy allocations, particularly these of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, are balanced.” It stays to be seen whether or not the system of supreme management will probably be modified, he added.
In this regard, the political analyst argues that the Islamic Republic can have continuity “past the establishment of a supreme chief.” “Today, the set up of a supreme chief has change into a significant downside for political reform within the nation. If Khamenei’s son is elected, we will probably be speaking concerning the starting of a household line that’s opposite to the rules of the Islamic Republic.” he explains. Some clerics reject the thought of dynastic succession as un-Islamic, evaluating it to a monarchy.
Mojtaba Khamenei emerges as successor candidate
According to Iran International, the Council of Experts, a clerical physique tasked with appointing a brand new supreme chief following the loss of life or incapacity of a present chief, secretly appointed Mojtaba Khamenei, the supreme chief’s second son. He is reported to have named him his successor.
This is as a result of Mojtaba not solely lacks the status of the grand ayatollah and even many odd ayatollahs, however for almost all of Iranians this is able to be seen as an indication that the Islamic Republic has change into a monarchy in title solely. It could be a controversial alternative, writes Michael Rubin in his e book. Middle East Forum.
Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of the Supreme Leader – Photo/File
“Mojtaba’s successor could have a huge effect,” says Rubin, citing his lack of spiritual {qualifications}. But this can be precisely what the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is searching for. “The Revolutionary Guards might not desire a full army dictatorship, however they could consider they’ll rule completely behind the clerical façade that Mojtaba can present,” he added.
Khamenei’s son maintains shut ties with Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. In 2019, the United States accused him of working intently with the Revolutionary Guards and the Basij, a volunteer militia underneath the Revolutionary Guards command, to help his father’s ambitions to destabilize the area.
Commanders and members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps meet with Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in Tehran, Iran – PHOTO/WANA through REUTERS
Mojtaba can be accused of suppressing protests in Iran. In 2009, it supported a violent crackdown on Green Movement protesters. The identical factor occurred throughout the 2022 protests following the loss of life of Mahsa Amini, who was detained by the morality police for not carrying the hijab appropriately and was killed in custody.
In addition to Mojtaba, different potential successors embrace cleric and politician Mohammad Mehdi Mirbagheri, cleric Ali Reza Alafi, former president Hassan Rouhani, and former lawyer normal Sadeq Larijani. It is being
A change of presidency?
Against this backdrop, the opportunity of a change of presidency after Khamenei’s loss of life has even been raised. Iranian journalist and analyst Ashkan Safaei Hakimi, quoted by Media Line, is presently contemplating two foremost eventualities. One is a brand new chief making an attempt to fix relations with the West, however maybe solely making a notion of reform, and the opposite is a political situation. Instability can result in common uprisings and regime change.
This is coupled with widespread dissatisfaction inside Iranian society over financial situations in addition to lack of freedom and alternative. Labor rights protests have taken place in current days, involving medical staff, pensioners and public transport drivers, to precise their dissatisfaction with the financial and social insurance policies of Massoud Pezeshkian’s authorities.
Masoud Pezeshkian receives presidential appointment from Ayatollah Khamenei – Photo/Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Despite Iran having the third-largest oil reserves after Venezuela and Saudi Arabia and the second-largest pure gasoline reserves on this planet, the vitality disaster signifies that many areas and provinces in Iran have no less than two An influence outage has been ordered for ~3 hours.
An Iranian girl walks on the road throughout the revival of the morality police in Tehran, Iran, July 16, 2023. WANA/Majid Asgaripour, Reuters
The ‘Ekbatan Incident’ continues to reveal the regime’s brutal repression
On November 13, 2024, the Tehran Criminal Court’s Branch 13 arrested six protesters: Milad Almoun, 26, Alireza Kafai, 34, Amir Mohammad Kosheghbal, 26, Navid Najran, 32, and Hossein Nemati. 27-year-old Alireza Bamerzpurnak) was sentenced to loss of life. 28) Charges of “participation in homicide and intentional assault” associated to the killing of a Basij militia member throughout a protest within the Ekbatan condo advanced in Tehran in October 2022.
CHRI Executive Director Hadi Ghami mentioned: “The six Ekbatan protesters have been disadvantaged of all due course of rights, pressured to make false confessions, subjected to torture, and put their lives at risk. We be part of many different individuals in Iran,” he mentioned, calling on the worldwide group. “To impose harsher diplomatic and financial penalties on Iran earlier than sending extra younger women and men to the gallows.”
preserve speaking about #EkbatanBoys – Six Iranian youths sentenced to loss of life by hanging following nationwide protests in 2022.
They have been charged with “moharebeh” (“waging struggle in opposition to God”) and charged with killing the Basij officer who was firing. pic.twitter.com/iXUXmolPnM
— Erica Le Bon (@elicalebon) November 17, 2024
The condemnation comes simply weeks after the execution of Jamshid Sharmahad, an Iranian-German resident of the United States. The Iranian regime’s abductions of international nationals and twin nationals are sometimes sought for use as bargaining chips to realize concessions from different nations, together with France, the United States, Germany, Sweden and Canada.
i’m sick. My coronary heart was damaged. Iran’s Islamic regime has executed Jamshid Sharmahad, a German nationwide dwelling within the United States and a father of two.
Jimmy Sharmahad was kidnapped by the Islamic regime within the United Arab Emirates, held hostage in Iran, and is presently being executed. His courageous… pic.twitter.com/t2ix171BZp
— Emily (@emilyshar1) October 28, 2024
Sharmahad, 69, was kidnapped by Islamic Republic brokers within the United Arab Emirates in 2020 and forcibly taken to Iran, the place he was subjected to torture and torture, together with extended solitary confinement, pressured confessions, and denial of important medical care. I used to be abused. Parkinson’s illness and different severe well being situations.
He was sentenced to loss of life for “land corruption,” a political cost utilized by the Islamic Republic to prosecute dissidents and critics of the state, and was sentenced to loss of life for “terrorist acts” after a trial based mostly on: He was accused of planning and directing the Confessions obtained by torture.